Friday 24 June 2022

Roe v Wade - Lost Opportunity for Unity

The United States Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade this morning.

Here is what you may not know.

1. The Actual Decision.

Roe v Wade did not grant an absolute right to abortion in The United States of America. The Wiki page actually summarizes the decision very well...

During the first trimester, governments could not regulate abortion at all, except to require that abortions be performed by a licensed physician. 

During the second trimester, governments could regulate the abortion procedure, but only for the purpose of protecting maternal health and not for protecting fetal life. 

After viability (which includes the third trimester of pregnancy and the last few weeks of the second trimester), abortions could be regulated and even prohibited, but only if the laws provided exceptions for abortions necessary to save the "life" or "health" of the mother.

The United States Supreme Court had an opportunity to not overturn Roe v Wade, but to confirm it today. In reversing that decision, they made a terrible mistake.

Enforcing Roe v Wade could have involved overturning a later decision called Planned Parenthood v Casey that abandoned the trimester distinctions in Roe v Wade, and opened up abortion to any point in a woman's pregnancy. While that would have limited access to abortion in the USA, confirming Roe v Wade could also have provided a balanced position between the two solitudes in the United States; between those who see abortion as the hallmark of freedom and women's rights, and those who see it as murder. 

More specifically, had the Supreme Court chosen to confirm a right to abortion in the first trimester; limited ability of states to restrict abortion in the second trimester; and supported an outright ban in the third trimester except in situations of risks to the health of a woman, incest or rape, they could have set up a situation where both sides could claim a victory of sorts in this fifty-year culture war - those supporting abortion could have seen access confirmed in the first trimester and in a more limited way in the second trimester, and those opposed to it would see access disappear in the third trimester. With the court having made clear that there would be no outright winner here, a relaxation of the tensions in that country could have set in over time.

Instead, five justices of the Supreme Court overturned the entire decision. This situation may rip the United States apart, meaning what may be the most aggressive and even violent congressional elections in a century this November. The Court may have set in train a new series of events that could have profound implications for national unity in the USA. 

2. Bork Triumphant. 

Roe v Wade made no sense. This decision found a right to privacy containing a right to abortion in the United States Constitution that isn't written anywhere. The arguments for its repeal have been obvious for anyone who bothered to use their brain since the day the decision was rendered. 

How bad was this decision? 

When I was in university, Roe v Wade was the sole subject of a final test in a course on logic. Students were asked to just read and comment on the decision. The right answer was that this decision made no sense from a logical and reasonable perspective because you can't find rights in a document where there is absolutely no mention of those same rights. 

The most prominent proponent of the repeal of this decision and the need to resort to the literal wording in the United States Constitution was probably Robert Bork. He called what the court did in Roe v Wade "Judicial Imperialism" as he thought it showed a tendency on the part of the court to make up or find rights in the constitution that were not there, simply because they suited the court's policy preferences and not the original intent of the framers of the US Constitution, which he though should be the basis of all interpretation

Bork's nomination to be a justice of the court in 1987 was rejected by Congress because of his view on judicial intervention versus original intent. Translation - it was obvious to Congress that he would have voted to repeal Roe v Wade, so he was rejected.

He didn't hide his intentions. When standing for confirmation, he actually said this to the committee tasked with approving his elevation to the highest judicial office in the land..."I am convinced, as I think most legal scholars are, that Roe v. Wade is, itself, an unconstitutional decision, a serious and wholly unjustifiable judicial usurpation of state legislative authority,

And so, Bork never sat as a justice of the Supreme Court. But please compare his brutally honest assessment re Roe v Wade when he was questioned by the committee on the subject under oath, with the disgusting lies spewed by the five sitting Conservative justices of the court who, when asked if they "respect precedent" - as in, would they uphold Roe v Wade which was judicial precedent at the time - all said that they would. 

They lied...he did not. Bork stands redeemed today, not only for his theory of judicial interpretation, but more so for his refusal to lie to Congress under oath in aid of his personal and political ambitions.

3. The Left's Missed Opportunity and The Future of Gay Marriage. 

The Left in the USA has had fifty years to move forward an amendment to the Bill of Rights that would confirm a right to privacy and abortion in the United States Constitution. Had they done so, no Supreme Court could not have done anything about it, as even someone putting forward an "original intent" argument would have had to conclude that such a right does exist.

Instead of securing the right as an amendment, the those who favour abortion have relied for almost fifty years on the US Supreme Court to protect this right. Today, the Supreme Court laid bare what, as noted above, has been obvious since the day that Roe v Wade was rendered back in 1973; this decision was very vulnerable to being reversed some day.

Going forward, those who favour abortion on demand will likely try to get back to the court with other cobbled-together rationales for a right to abortion, including the right to equal treatment under the law.  They will likely argue that restricting a woman's right to abortion renders them unequal to men, so a right to abortion must be supported. Similar arguments were made regarding the right to gay marriage in the USA, where homosexual couples argued that denying them the right marry rendered them unequal to those who could marry, namely heterosexual couples.

No one knows how this Supreme Court would rule should such arguments be brought forward. However, if the Conservatives on this court are bold enough to reverse a fifty year old decision like Roe v Wade after promising under oath to Congress to not do so, one would think that Obergefell v Hodges, which is the case which legalized gay marriage only in America in 2015, is also be under very serious threat.

4. The Culture War is Full On.

I think this Conservative court sees itself as engaged in a counter attack in a fifty year long culture war.  If so, this is a turning point in the history of the United States of America where the Left has largely been ascendant for the last few generations, but the Right is now able to strike back.

Other countries had thirty-years wars and hundred-years wars over differences concerning royal successions and religious beliefs. The results laid those countries low for decades. And so, we may see something similar in the near future of America. 









Thursday 23 June 2022

Time for WW3?

Do I mention the hitherto unmentionable? 

It is now obvious that NATO would crush Russia in a conventional war. Their air force would be gone in a week. Their navy would be gone in a day. Their army would be overwhelmed shortly after that. 

Is it Gulf of Tonkin time? 

Does NATO get Finland and Sweden on side, let the Ukrainians weaken the Russians even more, then just roll over their borders?

You have to know some military industrial complex think-tank types in the USA are thinking exactly this...




Cue the war-justifying propaganda...

Banzai!

Tuesday 21 June 2022

The Jan 6th Hearings

I've been watching the hearings into the January 6th incident as much as I can. 

The impression that I have so far is that this has been exceptionally well researched, with the evidence presented literally destroying any claim by Donald Trump that he won the 2020 presidential election. 

More than that, it is becoming clearer by the day that he and his minions orchestrated an attempt to at least thwart a constitutional process in that country related to the certification of the presidential election in 2020.

The depth of the outright lies perpetrated by Trump's crew is breathtaking. Until these hearings, I had thought that some of them were just extremely deluded about the election result, as they had not had an opportunity to see the actual evidence that the election was conducted without wide-spread fraud. This is not true. 

Trump et al had access to much of the evidence showing no fraud before and while they perpetrated their lies. They were advised by official after official - almost all Republicans, by the way, and many of them actually appointed by Trump himself - that there was no basis to their delusions about the outcome of the election, with those officials presenting mountains of contrary evidence to them.  

These people were not misled; they did the misleading, and they are still at it.

Rather than support reality, Trump et al chose to manipulate some of the evidence they were presented with to create the illusion of misdeeds. 

For sample, they selectively released a 90 second video of the election count in Fulton County asserting that doctored ballots were pulled out of suitcases and run through the counting machines again and again creating 18,000 fake votes for Biden. This is absolutely untrue, as is made crystal clear by the entire video, which Trump el al had access to before perpetrating these outrageous falsehoods. 

This situation was debunked as early as Dec 4, 2020...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vq1QvLdznyo

That video is 100% supported by the facts as they are coming out at the hearings...there is literally no evidence to support the Trumpian position, which is now clearly a concocted series of outright falsehoods.

Anyone interested in the Jan 6th riots should watch these hearings. There is none of the usual BS that one sees when the Democrats and Republicans go at each other to score political points. It is the best example of how things like this should be done that I have seen in years, where even CNN's reporting is slightly digestible.

And on that, why had Fox News initially not shown the hearings? What was Tucker Carlson afraid of?  Is it that Fox News needs to keep their viewers ignorant of reality in order to succeed in moving their agenda ahead? 

If the answer is yes, what, pre tell, is the Fox News agenda? What the committee is hearing and presenting is a slew of actual facts...why was Fox News afraid of facts?

The hearings have not really resonated with the American public yet, but they may be just one tweetable revelation away from blowing this situation wide open. Stay tuned.




 



PDAC, 2022...Toronto Observations!

I went to the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada convention again this year. It was a success. I met friends and family and enjoyed great company with great people. I was able to find a few Gold exploration companies drilling right beside old Gold mines. 

I also walked about looking at the state of affairs in Toronto. Observations follow.

Revolution...Deleted.

The PDAC attracts a wide range of protests. The most prolific form of protest is the poster. 

Here is a poster of a type that was plastered on walls and pillars all around the convention when I arrived on opening day.



Power to the PEOPLE!!! Fight the Power! 

Or...maybe not. Right behind the people fighting the Man and putting up these posters was this guy...


Notice the line of posters on the pillars in the background. No Brownshirts here, just a guy with a scraper. Have the forces of reaction ever looked so plain?  

Bye, Bye Pot Boom

Pot was legalized shortly after Trudeau came to power in 2015. What followed was the Wild West of expansion of pot retailers, to the extent that even in Ottawa there are now more than 100 pot stores.  

The era of expansion that has seen thousands of independent pot shops pop up everywhere has almost ended. The era of mass bankruptcy and consolidation is about to start. 

Here is a dead pot shop...the first one I have seen to date.


Here is what will soon be a brand new entrant into an already saturated market...


There is only so much pot that any society can smoke! Hopefully up next, an audit of who got what pot retail licences and when, how are they related to people in power, and were there any shenanigans in the granting of those licences?  What did the Premier do for a living in high school?

Dougies!

Please see the temporary residences (a.k.a. "Dougies") of some failed stock brokers on lower University Avenue here...


I lived in Toronto for a total of nine years. I don't recall semi-permanent tent homes festooning lower University Avenue at any time. I think this didn't happen because the cops would very aggressively move people along had they tried to set up such structures way back when (the 80's and 90's). It is illegal to live where these tents are set up. Why are these people not moved along?  

Sorry, but I'm such a heartless bastard!

A question for the bleeding hearts. If someone thinks these people should be allowed to live wherever they want, in whatever structure they want, would those people also be OK if the poor set up tent structures right across the street from they live?  Likely not.

Point - The do-gooders who support things like this mostly don't live downtown. They support stuff like this downtown so that it will stay downtown, far from where they live, which is not downtown.  

I have way more time for people who want to enforce the law and get rid of these types of structures, while looking for proper housing for these people, than I do for the chatting classes whose real motivation is hypocritical self-interest, expressed as "shame and blame" directed at anyone who disagrees with them. 

Bitcoin's Real Market!

Who The F*^k really uses Bitcoin? 

Here is the type of place that advertises Bitcoin for actual acquisition, and presumably for future use. Note the "Bitcoin" sign at the top.


This place is similar to other corner stores in Ottawa that offer Bitcoin for sale, usually located in residential areas populated by people on welfare and the working poor.  

The people who buy Bitcoin...and, sorry Mr. Poilievre, these are the only people who actually use Bitcoin as currency...are drug dealing pieces of shit that launder drug cash through conversion to Bitcoin. These are also the people who are directly responsible for this...

https://health-infobase.canada.ca/substance-related-harms/opioids-stimulants/

Hmmm...just shy of 27,000 overdose deaths in Canada in five years...about one death every hour and a half, for five years. Maybe we should be making it harder for the pieces of shit who are dealing mass death by at least limiting their convenience store-based money laundering opportunities? Is this hard?