It Didn't Work - Trump Outpolling Harris

It is amazing watching the press literally fawn over Kamala Harris, as she moves ahead to challenge Donald Trump in the battle to become the next President of the United States.

The initial polling is in. It didn't work. Trump leads Harris by 1.9% in national polls (2.8% if the five people challenging to become President are included in polling), and latest polls show his lead growing, not shrinking.

See here...

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Harris has become the candidate for the Democrats without having to beat any challenger whatsoever. She has been nominated by the party hierarchy and the moneymen who run that party. This is a serious mistake, as it arms Trump and his minions to claim that he is the democrat, not Harris, as he was actually elected to the position as his party's nominee. Any process would have been preferable to nothing. Note - Trump has started calling this a "coup"...millions of voters will agree with him.

The Democrats have also doubled-down on the claims that Trump is a felon, seemingly unable to understand that this claim has not hurt him to date, and there is little chance that it will do so now. As noted in this blog...

https://www.blogger.com/blog/post/edit/8182703650793673539/8524546371636135577

...Trump's base grew with his criminal convictions, not shrank.

The problem is simple. 

The Democrats do not understand masses of the American people. The are preaching incongruities to a group of people who simply see the world in a different light. The Democrats do not have a leadership problem; they have a comprehension problem, as in they don't properly comprehend the basic preferences, ideals, perspectives, hopes and dreams of tens of millions of people who they want to lead.

This may change as Trump's infirmity becomes clearer, and Harris comes to be preferred only because she isn't a fossil. But the GOP has been better at hiding Trump's issues than the Democrats were at hiding Biden's.

Will the Democrats seek to dump Harris at the DNC in August via a contested convention, when it is clear that she cannot beat Trump?

The craziest election ever continues!

 

Biden Withdraws from Race!

As predicted here, President Biden withdrew from the race to become the next president of the United States of America. (This blog was off by six days.) After his shocking and abysmal performance in the recent debate against Donald Trump, this was inevitable.

Who will replace Biden? 

Likely Harris, but comments on the main options and how they may fare against Trump follow.  

Harris - Trump will wipe the floor with Harris if she is nominated. She was a catastrophe in 2020 when she ran for the nomination against Biden. The news from her office that she is a toxic and difficult and disorganized person to work for says everything. Polling puts her well behind Trump; she cannot be the nominee.

Whitmer - She would beat Trump if she becomes the nominee instead of Harris. She is in a battleground state - Michigan - and she has successfully run a government. She is competent; Harris is not. 

Trump can't be seen to savage a White, middle-aged woman in the USA without losing the vote of that entire demographic. But Trump can't help himself. If Whitmer is nominated, Trump will blow his brains out attacking her, one viscous tweet and comment at a time. If the Democrats have any brains at all, they will rush to make Whitmer the nominee. 

Buttigieg - He is married to a man. The USA isn't ready for that. The Democrats know that.  He will not be the nominee.

Newsom - He is effective and compelling. He is the Governor of California. Nevertheless, his nomination would mean a 100 electoral college seat victory by Trump, as a White, wealthy, California Democrat is the essence of everything that the MAGA Republicans and their supporters hate. Trump would be able to focus on Newsom like no other candidate, and bury him alive. Nominating him would be insane.

The wildcard here is Trump himself. He is 78, and is also not the man he used to be. This man is a heart attack waiting to happen. 

Biden and his minions hid his obvious decline for months, maybe years. What about Trump?

This is an unprecedented and crazy election. The chaos will continue!

Fearless prediction - It will be Harris versus Haley in 2024.

Result - Nikki Haley will be the next president of the USA.

Trump Assassination Attempt

Trump avoided being assassinated yesterday. Good for him - a political assassination at this point in American history could spark a bloodbath. No doubt, there are many people who wish the shooter had aimed a bit to the right. They are dead wrong. It is a very good thing that Trump survived.

Here are some thoughts...

This is potentially Trump's moment of triumph. Trump's Republican Party will rally around him like never before especially as the Republican National Convention is very conveniently about to start. Trump has the opportunity in the next 72 hours to adopt a humble and unifying approach for the rest of the presidential election campaign that would surely win over the undecided and independent voters who are the people who decide every American election.

But that is not who he is. Here is some of what he will likely say...

You will hear that the Deep States tried to assassinate him. This is false.

You will hear that he and the MAGA Republicans need to "fight" against their opponents until they win; opponents including so-called RINO's and Democrats. Using words like "fight" in this circumstance is crazed as it encourages more violence - he has already started doing this.

You may even here that he was spared being killed because God wants him to lead the nation again. No comment.

If we know anything about this pampered billionaire, it is that he honestly believes that he is a victim. Yesterday, he actually was one. (Note - please read previous blogs regarding Trump. Some of the legal proceedings brought against him are unfair - he is a victim there as well.)

It is impossible for this man - a man who urged a crowd of his supporters to attack the Capitol on January 6, 2021 resulting in the deaths of five police officers (one stroke and four suicides) - to empathize with anyone other than himself.

An approach by Trump to the attempted assassination that is entirely self-centered and which implicitly calls for more violence and division - which, again, is what calling to "fight" in these circumstances would do - may actually hurt his election chances as independent and undecided voters will not want to see anything that smacks of division and future violence.  His reaction may actually frighten them.

Is Trump about to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory? 

We shall see.

Oh, and Biden? 

With Trump potentially able to coerce this assassination attempt into an electoral victory, the Democrats surely understand that they need to "move the goalpost" now or they will lose. I think he is being asked by most powerful Democrats to step aside right now. 

This is the strangest presidential election in US history. 

Hold on to your hats - the crazy is just getting started.

Fearless Prediction on Biden's Impending RESIGNATION! - Biden's Burden and Trump, The Man Who Would Be King

On February 3, 2024, on this Blog, a call was made for President Biden to undergo cognitive impairment tests to prove that he is capable of continuing as President, and therefore able to run again for that same office.

https://www.blogger.com/blog/post/edit/8182703650793673539/6048582028204971806

We don't need new tests of Biden's mental acuity as the cognitive impairment tests have now been run. These tests were effectively run via the recent debate between Trump and Biden. Biden failed those tests. He is so obviously impaired that he needs to immediately resign and let Vice President Kamala Harris run the country until the next presidential election and until the next president takes office. Biden needs to never run again to become the President of the United States. His career needs to end, right now.

Biden won't resign. The hubris is incredible. The Democrats allege that Trump will behave like a king once in office, especially now that the Supreme Court of the United States has said that a president cannot be charged with a crime stemming from official acts committed while he was in office. In light of this, what is Biden doing? Is he not behaving like the Office of the President of the United States is his own personal fiefdom? Who does this man think he is?

Biden may say that he needs to run as he is the only person who can defeat Trump. Prior to the debate, that was a valid point. After the debate, there are almost no political polls that suggests that this is true. See here...

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

Prior to the debate, Trump led Biden in the polls by under one percentage point. (Note - at this point in the election cycle prior to the 2020 presidential election, Biden led Trump by a whopping 9%!) Since the debate, Trump's lead has grown to well above 3%, which is outside most normal margins of error in public opinion polls, which suggest that Biden cannot possibly beat Trump now. Trump also leads Biden in every battleground state where Biden must win in the majority of these states or he cannot continue in his present job. 

What is happening, and what these polls reflect is that the undecided voters and the independent voters are moving to Trump in the realization that Biden is not competent to continue as president. Once these minds have been changed, it is close to impossible to change them back. Biden may have already handed Trump the next election as a result of his inexplicable hubris. 

(Note - Trump has recently edged Biden in the public opinion polls but millions of Americans would obviously still prefer an addled and incompetent Biden to a lying and criminal Trump. Where would Nikki Haley be in the polls in this situation if she has beaten Trump in the Republican presidential nomination battle! Without Trump's baggage, it is suggested here that she could have at least a ten percentage point lead on Biden at this point!) 

So if Trump wins, will he and can he behave like a king as the Left and the Democrats have suggested?

Commentary on Trump v the United States...

The United States Supreme Court has declared, as noted above, that presidents are immune from prosecution stemming from official acts while in office, and they sent the issue of what this means - as in, what are and what are not "official acts" - to the lower courts where Trump faces a range of criminal prosecutions. See here...

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-trump-immunity-official-acts/ 

The Left and the Democrats are aghast at this ruling, claiming that Trump will be able to do things such as order the arrest of political opponents and impose a military-enforced curfew in the USA to quell popular opposition to his rule.

Really? 

The Supreme Court confirmed the obvious, which is that official acts of the president should not attract criminal indictment. That's it. Were they supposed to say the opposite, which is that official acts can result in criminal charges? If that were the case, then many US presidents would have been in serious trouble, as the USA has committed a range of crimes in pursuit of its interests throughout the centuries. 

For example, it is actually illegal in international law to drop missiles on the heads of people in countries against which the missile-dropping country is not at war. President Obama personally ordered the murder of some 3,797 people via drone strikes, of which the USA will admit at least 324 of the dead persons were civilians. (Note - these people were all civilians, but the majority who were killed were suspected terrorists. These people did not get a day on court - they got death from above.)

https://www.cfr.org/blog/obamas-final-drone-strike-data

Here is an excellent summary of how many people were killed by drone strikes under Obama in countries against which the United States was not officially at war, and in one country - Pakistan - that was actually an ally.

https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2017-01-17/obamas-covert-drone-war-in-numbers-ten-times-more-strikes-than-bush/

President Obama also ordered the murder of at least one American citizen in these drone strikes. The President of the United States ordering the murder of a US citizen is not a legal act, even if that citizen had become a radicalize lunatic. Unless the lowers courts will to say that the President of the United States is allowed to murder American citizens as an official act - and they won't - then Obama is a murderer. (BTW - the then President Trump actually ordered an increase in drone strikes once he became President, and he relaxed the requirement to report the number of deaths from those strikes. Nonetheless, there is no record of him ordering the deaths of any Americans.)

The justices of the Supreme Court said that the president is immune from prosecution for official acts. They did not say that illegal acts somehow become legal as long as the president orders them into effect, which is how the Left and the Democrats are interpreting the ruling. They also did not say that anyone following an illegal order was immune from prosecution...only the President.

So no, the President cannot assume that ordering the shooting of a political opponent is now legal because he ordered it. Murder is still a crime, no matter how it comes about, and murdering a political opponent is presumably not an official act, although it will be up the lower courts to confirm this.

Then again, there is a chance that the lower courts won't do this and that they will allow for things such as murder and mass illegal incarceration as long as the president orders these things in his capacity as the president. This is the nightmare scenario that the Left and the Democrats thinks is actually possible. 

Thinking that the lower courts will not interpret "official acts" to include such things as murder is showing faith in the American system of justice and governance - something the Left and the Democrats are failing utterly to do on this issue. At this point, the lower courts have yet to rule on what are and what are not "official acts".  

We shall see. 

Fearless Prediction!  

This is July 12, 2024. 

Biden will resign from the presidential electoral race on Monday, July 15, 2024.