Sunday 21 July 2024

Biden Withdraws from Race!

As predicted here, President Biden withdrew from the race to become the next president of the United States of America. (This blog was off by six days.) After his shocking and abysmal performance in the recent debate against Donald Trump, this was inevitable.

Who will replace Biden? 

Likely Harris, but comments on the main options and how they may fare against Trump follow.  

Harris - Trump will wipe the floor with Harris if she is nominated. She was a catastrophe in 2020 when she ran for the nomination against Biden. The news from her office that she is a toxic and difficult and disorganized person to work for says everything. Polling puts her well behind Trump; she cannot be the nominee.

Whitmer - She would beat Trump if she becomes the nominee instead of Harris. She is in a battleground state - Michigan - and she has successfully run a government. She is competent; Harris is not. 

Trump can't be seen to savage a White, middle-aged woman in the USA without losing the vote of that entire demographic. But Trump can't help himself. If Whitmer is nominated, Trump will blow his brains out attacking her, one viscous tweet and comment at a time. If the Democrats have any brains at all, they will rush to make Whitmer the nominee. 

Buttigieg - He is married to a man. The USA isn't ready for that. The Democrats know that.  He will not be the nominee.

Newsom - He is effective and compelling. He is the Governor of California. Nevertheless, his nomination would mean a 100 electoral college seat victory by Trump, as a White, wealthy, California Democrat is the essence of everything that the MAGA Republicans and their supporters hate. Trump would be able to focus on Newsom like no other candidate, and bury him alive. Nominating him would be insane.

The wildcard here is Trump himself. He is 78, and is also not the man he used to be. This man is a heart attack waiting to happen. 

Biden and his minions hid his obvious decline for months, maybe years. What about Trump?

This is an unprecedented and crazy election. The chaos will continue!

Fearless prediction - It will be Harris versus Haley in 2024.

Result - Nikki Haley will be the next president of the USA.







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