Sunday, 21 August 2016

Iraqi Malibu Taxi

It was 1981. Iraq needed taxis.  Saddam Hussein approached GM Canada, and the result was an order for 25,000 specially modified Chevy Malibus.

They had six cylinder, 110 hp engines. They had bench seating in the front.  They had no rear defog...not needed in Iraq. They had three-speed manual transmission, with the stick on the floor. The back windows did not roll down.

My dad bough one in 1982 when Iraq canceled the second half of the order, and the cars were dumped on the Canadian market. He gave it to me when I went to school in 1983. The Iraqi Malibu was my first car.

And what a car! I thought it was the coolest car in the world! It was Battleship Grey! It had a favourite highway speed of about 140 km/h! Its stereo was loud enough to cover the screaming coming from the brakes when they needed work and made noise that was loud enough to attract grimaces from all on-lookers as I drove down the road. (NB - When I finally got the car serviced, the front brake assembly actually fell off onto the ground when the mechanics put the car on a hoist and took the front wheels off to take a look at what was causing all that noise.) Forget the Cameros, Mustangs and Thunderbirds....I had a babe magnet!

Just look at it! This is very close to what the car looked like!



OK, that's a slightly used one.  Here it is new...



After a whole four years of hard service, I gave the car back in 1986. As my dad drove it down main street in the Luckiest Little Town In The North one sunny summer day that year, the front right wheel came right off and rolled into a ditch....and that was the end of the Malibu.

My next car was a 1980's Ford Mustang...enough said.






Sunday, 24 July 2016

More Democratic Reform

The new Government of Canada has launched a democratic reform initiative as promised as part of its electoral mandate. What follows are some possible reforms that may be worth considering, and why they may be worthwhile.

No matter what, these potential changes must be put to the population in a national referendum on democratic reform. The biggest issue in electoral reform is not the specific reforms, but how they happen.  A national referendum is required so that reform of our democracy is not subject to the interests of political parties and politicians who work within the system, but should never be rulers of that same system. Their conflict of interest is crystal clear, and this issue is simply too important to be left to the politicians.

More than that, the suggestion that Canadians should not be able to vote about how they vote is bizarre and more than a bit insulting. If citizens can be trusted to vote wisely in elections, they can certainly be trusted to vote wisely in a referendum about elections. Politicians need to consult all citizens directly on this crucial issue.

The 11 proposed Referendum Questions follow, reflecting the widest range of likely changes to the present system. Thanks to all who contributed to refining this list. While a referendum is consultative in nature only, whatever Canadians say "yes" to should be implemented as soon as possible. The level of needed support for a “yes” vote to succeed should be 55%, or a majority of electors, to ensure that support for a given measure is clear (e.g. avoid the recent Brexit situation, and follow the led of the Supreme Court of Canada on separation votes in Canada, where there must be a clear majority). This list is not exhaustive, and the author is not wedded to any particular issue. If asked, the author would say yes to a few of these, but not all.  The questions have been kept simple - the politicians can deal with the specifics and complexities of implementation.

  1. Should we have internet voting?
  2. Should constituents be able to recall their Members of Parliament?
  3. Should voting be mandatory?
  4. Should citizens elect their representatives through the use of a preferential or ranked ballot?
  5. Should Members of Parliament represent no more than an average of 75,000 constituents?
  6. Should citizens have the ability to trigger national referenda?
  7. Assuming that the Senate will continue in its "sober second thought" role and not become a competitor to the House of Commons, should Senators be elected?
  8. Should corporations and unions be barred from making political contributions, either directly or indirectly?
  9. Should spending on political advertising between elections be regulated?
  10. Should the yearly stipend to political parties be restored with the caveat that citizens should be able to direct the payments between elections?
  11. Should we have fixed election dates?

The specifics of and rationale for these changes to the electoral system follow. The point is to show what proponents may say in support of these possible changes - if the Government thinks there need to be changes to our electoral system, then here are some possible changes with rationales in support of those changes.

Again, the author is not wedded to any of these. There are arguments in opposition as well, but these are not included as the point of this exercise is to change the system, not to explain why it should remain as it is. In fact, the author does not actually agree with many of the positive rationales presented below, but they are provided as part of an overall rationale for the type of change that many people seem to think is required.

1. Internet Voting: It should be possible to vote either via the Internet, or in person, in the next federal election in 2019.

- Anyone can do their banking and investing over the Internet. They can spend thousands of dollars to buy goods and services over the Internet.  If people can engage these complex and private transactions with ease on-line, the time has come to make voting easier by allowing people to vote on-line if they so choose. This could go a long way to addressing the perennial problem of declining voter turnout - bring the ability to vote to the voters.

2. Recall: Constituents should be able to recall their Member of Parliament and force a by-election, subject to strict criteria, such as 60% of electors in a riding signing a petition demanding a recall by-election within a 90-day period.

- It is ridiculous that MPs cannot be fired by the people they represent between elections. A recall by-election should be difficult to launch, but if an MP's behavior warrants his or her firing, this option should be available to constituents.

3. Mandatory Voting: Every citizen should be required to vote in a federal election, with a small fine being levied against those who do not do so.

- It works in Australia! Taking 30 minutes every four years to show up to vote is not too much to ask in a democracy. If voters do not like the candidates, they are free to spoil their ballots, but it is important that everyone be included in an election to add to the integrity of every Parliament’s mandate.

4. Ranked Voting/Preferential Ballot: Voters should be able to rank their preferences on a ballot, by indicating their first, second and third choices for their Member of Parliament. Rounds of votes should be counted until someone receives more than 50% of the votes. The candidate who receives the greatest amount of support over 50% will win the seat.

- The supports of proportional representation argue that with the first-past-the-post system, the winner of a riding is usually elected by only a plurality - that “their vote did not count”. Actually, all votes are counted, and these people are really complaining that the person they preferred as their representative, or the party that they are a member of, didn't win - and that the person who did win did it with a level of support that leaves a question in the minds of many as to legitimacy of their mandate.

To get around this, ask that voters rank their top three preferences, and count rounds of votes until the winner shows the greatest level of support over 50%. This will allow the winner to be able to show that they did, in fact, get the over 50% of the vote. It also opens a world of possibility to parties that usually get a significant percentage of the vote, but which cannot convince more than a handful of constituents in a given riding to support their candidate. If they work to become everyone’s second choice, they could actually govern one day.

5. No More than 75,000 Constituents per Riding: Make sure that Members of Parliament represent no more than 75,000 people, which would increase the size of the present House of Commons to about 470 members.

- This will dramatically increase the size of the House of Commons, but in so doing, it will also dilute the control that political parties have over their members, freeing them up to more often vote their conscience as informed by the will of their constituents. It does this by making it more remote that a given MP will ever become a minister of the Crown; the desire for which is the primary reason that MPs are loyal to their parties.

6. National Referenda: Citizens should be able to trigger a referendum on any issue, subject to strict criteria, such as 50% of national electors signing a petition within a 90 day period demanding the same.

- Citizens should be able to launch national referendum on issues of the day. It should be hard to do this, limiting the number of referenda that may go ahead, but the option should be available so that whether or not a referendum is launched is not entirely subject to the interests of political parties and politicians that control this country.

7. Senate Reform: The Senate should be elected, with elections being organized by whatever method suits the provinces and territories that they represent, but an elected Senate should continue with its traditional "sober second thought" role so as to not become a legislative competitor to the House of Commons.

- This is 2016, not 1916, or even 1816...it is time for an elected Senate in Canada. As noted by the Supreme Court, our constitutional framework requires that the Senate only perform a “sober second thought” role, and that the lead legislature still be the House of Commons. Nonetheless, as long as this basic role does not change, there is no reason why the Senate cannot be elected - there are two elected Senators right now.

8. Campaign Financing: Political parties and candidates may not receive funds from any source without the source being specifically and publicly attributed, and no person may give more than $1,000 a year to any party of candidate. Corporations and Unions may not donate to political parties or candidates, either directly or indirectly.

- Political parties in Canada pull in millions of dollars from such things as $500 a plate dinners where no tax receipts are requested or given. This makes a mockery of campaign finance reform. All loopholes in campaign financing must be closed so that no person may give more than $1000 a year to any one politician or party. This is linked to restoring the yearly stipend noted below.

9. Advertising Between Election: Spending on political advertising between elections must be registered with Elections Canada, and all such spending must be publicly reported.

- The Conservatives started campaigning between elections. There are no rules governing this activity. If rules during formal campaigns are necessary, so are rules between those campaigns.

10. Restore Public Financing of Political Parties: The yearly stipend that political parties used to receive should be restored, but with the caveat that citizens should be able to direct their stipend to whatever political party they prefer, perhaps through the use of a box on their yearly income tax form.

- If campaign financing is going to be tightened further (see above) it makes sense to restore the yearly stipend to political parties, perhaps at a rate of $2.00 per voter. In its previous incarnation, the yearly stipend was awarded based on the results of the previous election, so that parties like the Greens would get, say 4% of all available funds because the got 4% of the popular vote in the previous election. This could not be changed between elections no matter what the political party in question did. If voters could direct these funds between elections, they would have an ability to reward those parties that performed well, and punish those that didn't by directing their stipend to whatever party suited their fancy, and withholding it from others.

11. Fixed Election Dates:  We have a fixed election date law that is so toothless that its originator was able to ignore it twice when it suited his political purposes.  If the Prime Minister is still free to ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call an election whenever he wants, we need to ask whether or not fixed election dates make sense.

- Fixed election dates provide predictability to the electoral system, and ensure that the rules of the game regarding when we have elections are crystal clear.  The timing of federal elections is too important to be left to the machinations of political parties and their leaders.

Saturday, 9 July 2016

Democratic Reform in Canada

The new Government of Canada has launched a democratic reform initiative as promised as part of its electoral mandate.  What follows are some possible reforms that may be worth considering, and why they may be worthwhile.

1. Term Limits: No one should be able to sit as a Member of Parliament for longer than the life of three consecutive Parliaments, or a maximum of 12 years.

- Absolute power corrupts absolutely, so a bit of power will corrupt a bit.  Not all politicians are corrupt, in fact most are not.  Nonetheless, a few bad apples is a few too many.  The longer they stay, the greater the chances that they will abuse their position.  Let politicians take a break after 12 years and get a small pension.  Let them run again after they take one mandate off.  If they choose to just retire, there are plenty of other qualified people who can replace them.  Of course, because the Prime Minister is a Member of Parliament, this means that no PM can serve longer than 12 consecutive years.

2. Recall: Constituents should be able to recall their Member of Parliament and force a by-election, subject to strict criteria, such as 60% of electors in a riding signing a petition demanding a recall by-election within a 90 period.

- It is ridiculous that MPs cannot be fired by the people they represent between elections. A recall by-election should be difficult to launch, but if an MP's behaviour warrants his or her firing, this option should be available to constituents.

3. Mandatory Voting: Every citizen should be required to vote in a federal election, with a small fine being levied against those who do not do so.

- It works in Australia!  Taking 30 minutes every four years to show up to vote is not too much to ask in a democracy. If voters do not like the candidates, they are free to spoil their ballots, but it is important that everyone be included in an election to add to the integrity of every Parliament’s mandate.

4. Ranked Voting/Preferential Ballot:  Voters should be able to rank their preferences on a ballot, by indicating their first, second and third choices for their Member of Parliament.  Rounds of votes should be counted until someone receives more than 50% of the votes.  The candidate who receives the greatest amount of support over 50% will win the seat.

- The supports of proportional representation argue that with the first-past-the-post system, the winner of a riding is usually elected by only a plurality - that “their vote did not count”.  Actually, all votes are counted, and these people are really complaining that the person they preferred as their representative didn’t win with a level of support that is enough to leave no question in anyone’s mind as to their mandate to represent.  

To get around this, ask that voters rank their top three preferences, and count rounds of votes until the winner shows the greatest level of support over 50%.  This will allow the winner to be able to show that they did, in fact, get the over 50% of the vote.  It also opens a world of possibility to parties that usually get a significant percentage of the vote, but which cannot convince more than a handful of constituents in a given riding to support their candidate.  If they work to become everyone’s second choice, they could actually govern one day.

5. No More than 75,000 Constituents per Riding: Make sure that Members of Parliament represent no more than 75,000 people, which would increase the size of the present House of Commons to about 470 members.

- This will dramatically increase the size of the House of Commons, but in so doing, it will also dilute the control that political parties have over their members, freeing them up to more often vote their conscience as informed by the will of their constituents.  It does this by making it more remote that a given MP will ever become a minister of the Crown; the desire for which is the primary reason that MPs are loyal to their parties.

6. National Referenda: Citizens should be able to trigger a referendum on any issue, subject to strict criteria, such as 50% of national electors signing a petition within a 90 day period demanding the same.

- Citizens should be able to launch national referenda on issues of the day.  It should be hard to do this, limiting the number of referenda that may go ahead, but the option should be available so that whether or not referenda are launched is not entirely subject to the interests of political parties that control this country.

7. Senate Reform: The Senate should be elected, with elections being organized by whatever method suits the provinces and territories that they represent, but an elected Senate should continue with its traditional "sober second thought" role so as to not become a legislative competitor to the House of Commons.

- It is time for an elected Senate in Canada.  Our constitutional framework requires that the Senate only perform a “sober second thought” role, and that the lead legislature still be the House of Commons.  Nonetheless, as long as this basic role does not change, there is no reason why the Senate cannot be elected - there are two elected Senators right now.

8. Campaign Financing: Political parties and candidates may not receive funds from any source without the source being specifically and publicly attributed, and no person may give more than $1,000 a year to any party of candidate.  Corporations and Unions may not donate to political parties or candidates, either directly or indirectly.

- Political parties in Canada pull in millions of dollars from such things as $500 a plate dinners where no tax receipts are requested or given. This makes a mockery of campaign finance reform. All loopholes in campaign financing must be closed so that no person may give more than $1000 a year to any one politician or party.

9. Advertising Between Election:  Spending on political advertising between elections must be registered with Elections Canada, and all such spending must be publicly reported.

- The Conservatives started campaigning between elections.  There are no rules governing this now. If rules during formal campaigns are necessary, so are rules between those campaigns.

10.  Restore Public Financing of Political Parties:  The yearly stipend that political parties used to receive should be restored, but with the caveat that citizens should be able to direct their stipend to whatever political party they prefer, perhaps through the use of a box on their yearly income tax form.

- If campaign financing is going to be tightened further (see above) it makes sense to restore the yearly stipend to political parties, perhaps at a rate of $2.00 per voter.  It its previous incarnation, the yearly stipend was awarded based on the results of the previous election, so that parties like the Greens would get, say 4% of all available funds because the got 4% of the popular vote in the previous election.  This could not be changed between elections no matter what the political party in question did.  If voters could direct these funds between elections, they would have an ability to reward those parties that performed well, and punish those that didn’t by directing their stipend to whatever party suited their fancy, and withholding it from others.      

These potential changes should be put to the population in a national referendum on democratic reform.  Whatever they say "yes" to should be implemented as soon as possible.  A national referenda is required so that reform of our democracy is not subject to the interests of political parties which work within the system, but should never be rulers of that same system; their conflict of interest is crystal clear.

The Referendum Questions follow.

  1. Should Members of Parliament be limited to serving or no more than 12 consecutive years?
  2. Should constituents be able to recall their Members of Parliament?
  3. Should voting be mandatory?
  4. Should citizens elect their representatives through the use of a preferential or ranked ballot?
  5. Should Members of Parliament represent no more than an average of 75,000 constituents?
  6. Should citizens have the ability to trigger national referenda?
  7. Should Senators be elected?
  8. Should corporations and unions be barred from making political contributions, either directly or indirectly?
  9. Should spending on political advertising between elections be regulated?
  10. Should the yearly stipend to political parties be restored with the caveat that citizens should be able to direct the payments between elections?

Monday, 4 July 2016

Tragedy, Farce, and Brexit

Boris Johnson is not running for the leadership of the Conservative Party.

Nigel Farage has resigned the leadership of the UK Independence Party.

The guiding lights of the "Leave" camp have therefore jumped ship before the Brexit even starts.

There will be another referendum...see previous post.

"They first came to us as a tragedy; when we next see them, it will be as a farce."

Marx would have been more popular in the West if not for that "Manifesto" thing.




Sunday, 26 June 2016

Britain's Humiliating Future Post Brexit

There will be another referendum. Britain will remain in Europe, but only after accepting humiliating terms that cut directly into British "exceptionalism", which Europe has been striving to accommodate for 43 years.

The impetus for this will be the looming dismemberment of the UK. The Scots did not vote in 2014 to remain in the UK in order to leave Europe. Northern Ireland may consider some type of union with Ireland in order to stay in the EU - by far the most shocking possible outcome from this sad charade. The people who rejected Europe did not intend to dismantle the UK. As the twin threats of Scottish and Northern Irish separation loom large, their opinions will begrudgingly change.

The next British election will be the key. Pro-Europe will stand against Anti-Europe with the sole issue being a call for another referendum, and this time the Pro-Europe voters, buttressed by new "protect the UK at all costs" voters, will actually show up. The result will be a landslide Pro-Europe majority, followed by a referendum with a similar landslide in favour of staying.

This will halt on-going negotiations between the UK and Europe, which will soon be triggered by the invocation of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty by Britain. After this is triggered, the Brits can only stay if every country in the European Union agrees. The price for staying will be very high - any British exceptionalism will be swept away.  The result of trying to go it alone will be even closer ties.

The last time Britain did something this stupid was the Suez Crisis, when the gunboats sailed, and the Empire strode forth to stop the nasty Egyptians from nationalizing the canal. The result was a humiliating political defeat when Britain's overlord and protector - the USA - refused to support the operation. Britain's empire essentially evaporated after that.

And the other story...

The nastier side of this sad episode is that European politicians will "get it". The lesson they will learn from Brexit is that the perception of too much immigration into Europe is threatening the political fabric of the continent. They will quietly work to restrict immigration into the Union in coming months, either by disallowing entry entirely, or by becoming very pro-Assad (and pro-Putin), essentially handing Syria back to a butcher in return for something like peace that will stem the flow of refugees from that part of the world.
 




Friday, 24 June 2016

Brexit?

The Brits have voted to go it alone! The margin was slight - 51.9% of voters chose to "leave", representing a total vote of some 17.4 million people.  The turnout was only 71.8%, prompting immediate calls for another referendum based on the allegation that a turn-out this low cannot possibly decide something as monumental as the separation of Britain from the EU. These calls will become increasingly shrill as the weeks and months pass, as the true implications of leaving the EU become clearer.

There are two groups to watch now.

The first is the Scots. They just recently voted to stay in the UK, but they clearly supported remaining in the EU. Expect calls for another Scottish referendum to start anew, based on the sensible argument that in voting to stay in the UK, the Scots also voted to stay in the EU, and if the UK will now leave the EU, it should not necessarily take the Scots with it. A Scottish vote to leave the UK to remain in the EU would probably succeed.

The second group of note is the Germans. They are right now deciding among two diametrically opposed options, each with massive implications for the future of the EU.

Option 1 - Do they gracefully accept that the Brits have voted to leave, while extending every olive branch to try to get them the change their minds in a separate, future referendum, including extending the negotiations around separation as long as possible in the hopes of eventually getting a different result?

Option 2 - Do they see a risk to the future of Europe in the British example, and do they decide to make an example of the Brits, forcing a quick and nasty separation, including:
  • demanding that European banks engage in high finance only in Europe, thereby partially wrecking the City of London as a centre of work finance; 
  • suggesting that British subjects may need visas in the future to travel to and work in Europe; 
  • suggesting that British nationals in Europe could be subjected to extra taxation as they would now be foreigners; 
  • requiring that the British representatives recuse themselves from all EU business except that related to British separation, as these people would now be in a potentially massive conflict of interest given that they will soon be foreigners (this is actually required by Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon, 2009 in respect of the European Council...see below); and, 
  • signalling that once the Brits have gone, they will never be allowed back in with the special status that they now enjoy? 
The point would be to show to the Finns and Dutch, and any member of the EU what may lay in store for them should they seek to follow the British lead.

The key is Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty of 2009, which, once invoked, triggers a two-year separation negotiation, wherein no country can get back into Europe without the unanimous consent of other members.

Will Germany signal that it wants Britain to invoke this Article quickly? The British leadership has already indicated that it wants to go slowly - the obvious reason for this being to see if minds can be changed in a second referendum that will reverse this decision. If the Germans signal that they want to go fast, we will know that they want to move Option 2 - to make an example of the British as a warning to every other country in Europe.

"There is a remedy which ... would in a few years make all Europe ... free and ... happy. It is to re-create the European family, or as much of it as we can, and to provide it with a structure under which it can dwell in peace, in safety and in freedom. We must build a kind of United States of Europe.” W.S. Churchill, 1946










Monday, 13 June 2016

Orlando Gun Show

In light of the tragic massacre in Orlando this past weekend, think about this...

www.floridagunshows.com/

"...you will enjoy all of this with the benefit of discount prices too!!!!!"

See you all in Orlando on July 2 - 3, 2016!!!