It Worked - Harris Picks Walz and now Outpolling Trump - TOO CLOSE TO CALL!

What a difference a few weeks make.

Harris is now leading Trump in poll after poll, as noted here:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Harris' lead in collective polls is 0.5%. For perspective, Biden's lead at this point in 2020 was 6.4%.

Looking at the very latest polls, Trump leads in battleground states Arizona, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Harris leads in Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia. 

Regarding the Electoral College, this writer has Trump at 271, and Harris at 267. 

This is too close to call.

Harris helped herself tremendously by choosing, not Shapiro who this writer noted would hurt her with young voters, but Walz from Wisconsin to be her vice presidential candidate. He is rock solid - he is a governor with experience running a government; a long-serving military veteran; and solidly supported by unions in a battleground state. This choice will buttress her campaign to such a degree that people will start to ask why he is the VP candidate and not the presidential one! Walz will embarrass Vance in any debate.

Trump's comments regarding Harris' race, coupled with his choice of Vance who has a history of verbal indiscretions, appear to have hurt his chances. The assassination attempt on Trump and the RNC seem eons away now.

Trump needs to bring some discipline to his campaign, or he is in serious trouble. Harris is very vulnerable regarding her own history of verbal indiscretions that are easily as serious as those of Vance, but Trump's campaign has been ineffective in bringing these to the electorate.

Harris needs to continue to not take questions from anyone in the press. The press has crowned her as the great anti-Trump hope. She needs to keep the focus on him, and to continue to use her very willing allies in the press to get her message across. 

The world is chaotic at the moment - Ukraine, Gaza, Lebanon, Great Britain, Sudan, and the stock market. This works in Trump's not Harris' favour, as he is the candidate of change and reaction, while she is the candidate of vested left-wing, certain financial interests and the status quo. Should this chaos bleed into the campaign, Trump's polling results will start to recover.

As noted above, this is too close to call. The great wild card over the next 48 hours is whether Trump will dump Vance and choose someone like Nikki Haley as his VP candidate who, assuming she would take the job, would remake this campaign yet again.

The most chaotic campaign ever continues!