What follows is a commentary on the current state of the war in Ukraine, especially in light of Ukraine's recent attack into Russia itself.
Please see here...https://www.politico.
Which contains this...
"Ukrainian commanders are crying out for more combat soldiers — one estimate from the former top commander, Valeriy Zaluzhny suggested they’d need an extra 500,000 troops. But Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian parliament are hesitant about ordering a massive fresh call-up. In an interview with POLITICO, Yermak, the powerful Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, offered an important — and to outsiders perhaps surprising — reason for not launching a mass mobilization: such a call-up wouldn’t have the backing of the people."
The recent offensive into Russia was probably launched, in part, to improve flagging Ukrainian spirits. Nonetheless, the Ukrainian army will not get the soldiers it needs to win this war because the population of Ukraine would not support such a call-up.
No elections can be held in Ukraine as martial law was declared in 2022. With millions of people still out of the country, they probably could not be organized anyway.
But what if they could?
Would Ukrainians still support this war if they were told it requires the call-up of another 500,000 men, and likely many more years of renewed effort, and they were allowed to vote on it?
According to the above article, very likely no, and the Government of Ukraine knows it.
Then there is this...
The recent US aid package is not nearly enough to enable Ukraine to defeat Russia, even if it had the manpower in place.
Reality - If winning means regaining the Donbas and Crimea, and not just surviving, other than the demise of Putin there is no obvious way in which Ukraine can win this war.
Does Zelenskyy understand this now?
After Ukraine's repeat of the Battle of the Somme last summer, and the endless bloodletting of the Ukrainian Army trying to stop Russian attacks this summer, he likely does.
This recent attack on Russia is designed to strengthen his bargaining position in peace talks that he thinks need to start in the autumn, as he realizes that, regardless of who wins the US Presidential election, this is over.
We shall see.
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